Meta-analysis of 25 RCTs (40,731 participants) of anti-obesity medications including tirzepatide, semaglutide, and others, examining whether weight reduction mediated by pharmacotherapy reduces risk of obesity-associated cancers. The pooled analysis found no statistically significant cancer risk reduction from AOMs compared to placebo. Provides important null findings for the hypothesis that pharmacological weight loss reduces obesity-associated cancer risk within the timeframe of existing RCTs—establishing that the cancer-prevention signal from observational weight-loss studies may not be reproducible in the controlled RCT pharmacotherapy setting at current trial follow-up durations.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine whether weight reduction mediated by antiobesity medications (AOMs) contributes to the risk reduction in obesity-associated cancer.
METHODS: PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web of Science, and the ClinicalTrials.gov website were systematically searched for randomized controlled trials of AOMs from inception to December 2024. Relative risks were calculated using a random-effects model.
RESULTS: The analysis included 25 randomized controlled trials with 40,731 participants. Compared with placebo, AOMs showed no association with the risk of overall obesity-related cancer (RR = 1.03, 95% CI: 0.78 to 1.37) or site-specific cancer. Consistently, every 5 kg weight reduction mediated by AOMs was not associated with the risk of overall obesity-related cancer (RR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.84 to 1.12) or site-specific cancer. However, subgroup analysis revealed that coagonists (tirzepatide, cotadutide, and cagrilintide) significantly reduced overall obesity-associated cancer risk (RR = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.19 to 0.97), and every 5 kg weight reduction mediated by coagonists was marginally associated with a reduced overall obesity-associated cancer risk (RR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.62 to 1.00).
CONCLUSIONS: Weight reduction mediated by current AOMs was not associated with a reduced risk of overall or site-specific obesity-associated cancer in patients with overweight or obesity, while a decreased risk of overall obesity-associated cancer was observed in coagonist users.